India Weekend Race Preview – 29 September, 2019
We will be heading to Kolkata this weekend for our first-ever preview of the Royal Kolkata Race Club this summer. And we have a special race to thank for that, the Calcutta Monsoon Derby. With some of the best young horses of this year participating in this one, the race promises to be an exciting affair for Indian horse racing betting players.
While all eyes will be on the derby, there are plenty of other exciting races scheduled besides the main event on Sunday. We particularly like the look of The Sana Cup, a Class 1 race for horses rated above 81.
As usual, here are our predictions for the two races, with our top three picks:
1. The Calcutta Monsoon Derby
With an estimated distance of just over 2000m, this Grade 2 event will favor stayers over sprinters for sure. The race card shows nine horses in contention for the top places and a share of the INR 4365625 (approx 5000 pounds) prize purse. Since it is a derby, only three-year-olds are allowed to compete in this one. The Calcutta Monsoon Derby will be the fifth race on Sunday, with a scheduled starting time of 03:45 PM.
The top horses for this one include:
A bay colt sired by Win Legend (JPN), Jaivant has a rating of 65 for this event. Trained by Vijay Singh, he has been in excellent form with a record of top-three finishes in all five of his recent runs (1-1-2-1-3). Out of his seven runs so far, he is yet to finish outside the top three, which further enhances his stature in this race. He will be piloted by the very experienced Suraj Narredu on Sunday.
The dark bay gelding is the son of Phoenix Tower (USA) and dam Namibia (GER). With a rating of 79, he is widely considered as the tote favourite for this year’s derby. Under the watchful eyes of trainer Neil Darashah, this young challenger has performed well in his first four races, with two wins and a third and fourth (4-3-1-1). Currently, on a good vein of form with two wins on the trot, Tenno Sho will be looking to extend it to three with jockey YS Srinath in the saddle.
Sired by Western Aristocrat (USA) off Bluegrass Phenom (USA), this bay colt currently belongs to the yards of trainer JE Mckeown. He is closely behind Tenno Sho in the rating chart for the Derby with a figure of 75. Out of his five completed races, he has two wins and is yet to finish outside top four (1-1-3-4-2). With the experienced A Sandesh in the saddle, Trafalgar will be hoping to get back to winning ways in the Derby on Sunday.
While current form favors Tenno Sho, we think Trafalgar is due for a win and consider him as the topic pick if the book makers start listing at 5/1, slightly ahead of Darashah’s horse. Jaivant is a decent long-shot prospect.
2. The Sana Cup
With eight horses above the age of four in the running, this one feels a lot more predictable than the Derby. Most of the contenders in this class 1 1400m race are known quantities. The shorter distance also makes our task slightly easier. Out of the eight, at least four have their ratings in three digits, indicating a very strong field. This race is scheduled to take place immediately after the Derby, at 04:15 PM.
If you want to place wagers on this race, consider the following horses:
The five-year-old chestnut colt is a seasoned campaigner, with 21 races under his belt. He has won 11 of those, with another seven in the top four. The recent record is not too shabby either, with a run of 1-1-2-5-4. Sired by Dancing Forever (USA) Big Orange is currently trained by Bharath Singh. P Tejeshwar has been signed as his jockey for this race.
A four-year-old bay rig sired by Gusto (GB), Capricious hails from the stables of trainer Vikas Jaiswal. He has five wins and five other finishes in the top four out of this 14 confirmed runs so far. Though his form has tailed off in the last few races (1-1-3-9-7) he still has a decent rating of 89 for this event. Vinay Jaiswal will pilot him in this race.
He is a four-year-old bay gelding from the loins of Net Whizz (USA). Trained by Javed Khan, he has hit a rich vein of form in recent races, winning three on the trot so far. Of his 12 finished races, he has been in the top four no less than 10 times (with four wins). A favorite for this race, Perpetual Winning will have jockey DS Deora in the saddle.
Given his recent form, Perpetual Winning gets our vote of confidence ahead of Big Orange if the odds makers begin listing at 5/1. For a long-shot pick, Capricious is an excellent choice.
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